Our friend and a great Canadian, Gerry Nicholls, sent me an article that is interesting to those of us who are mentally alert despite the odds and aren’t yet sucked into that CBC-style vortex of Fabian socialist nutville. It’s written by John McLaughlin, a top Republican pollster and a friend of Gerry’s. In it he suggests Republicans have some reasons for optimism.
(Last week I pointed out a recent Rasmussen poll that show possible match-up results between Republican John McCain, and either Hillary Clinton or Barrack Hussein Obama. In that poll, McCain would win in either case. Romney still needs some building.)
This focus-group-based research is in-depth! The part of the article called Outlook for 2008 is where it gets less statistical and more fun. Here are a few selected tidbits, but go and read the whole thing (4-minute read). I particularly liked the first tidbit I listed below—I’ve mentioned the phenomenon as well—where the media has stopped reporting about the war in Iraq for some strange reason—manifestly that America is making great success now.
• So what has changed about the War in Iraq as an issue?
America might be winning.
Americans don’t like war, but what they hate more is losing a war, especially at the sacrifice of precious American lives.
• As unpopular as the President may still be, Hillary Clinton is not far behind. Nationally four in ten voters are unfavorable to her and they are polarized along partisan lines. No way is Mark Penn, Hillary’s pollster correct that she will get 25 percent of the Republican women vote. Her negatives among Republican women are about 80 percent—even in the Northeast.
• If Senator Obama wins the nomination, the Democratic Party will have gone even farther to the left and become even more anti-war. This will leave more of the middle and independent vote available to the Republicans.
• Last November six in ten voters, 59 percent preferred “smaller government with fewer services”, over “larger government with many services”, 28 percent. In the Northeast the plurality of voters preferred smaller government 48 percent to 36 percent. Fiscal conservatism will be an important opportunity once again for Republicans.
• With the retirement of incumbents and the opportunity for new challengers the Republican Party once again has the opportunity to become the party of new ideas, new faces and change precisely at a time when voters will be looking for independence and change once more.
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PTBC was founded by Mr. Johannesen in 2000.
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