Nik Nanos’ numbers are reliable. His SES Research was nearly exactly spot-on in predicting the exact results of the last election. (He was something like .03 percent off the mark).
Here’s the facts from his latest poll, just released, which you’ll no doubt not hear in the liberal media (they’ll wait until they can conjure one up with opposite results):
Nik on the Numbers…
As you might remember, in the last federal election, the nightly CPAC-SES tracking included leadership measures (trust, competence and vision). One year later, SES and CPAC have completed a follow up leadership evaluation.
The CPAC-SES Leader Report Card indicates that after one year in power, Prime Minister Stephen Harper has noticeably improved all measures related to leadership. Compared to the eve of the federal election, he has significantly improved his leadership image score on trust (+14 points), competence (+17) and his vision for Canada (+14).
Canada (2007 – MoE ± 3.1%, 2006 – MoE ± 5.0%)
The change from the night before the election is in parenthesis.Most Trustworthy Leader
Harper – 35% (+14)
Dion – 20% (Martin – 18%)
Duceppe – 8% (-3)
Layton – 18% (-7)
May – 8% (Harris – 3%)Most Competent Leader
Harper – 41% (+17)
Dion – 22% (Martin – 28%)
Duceppe – 8% (No change)
Layton – 13% (-4)
May – 4% (Harris – 2%)Best Vision for Canada
Harper – 39% (+14)
Dion – 21% (Martin – 25%)
Duceppe – 5% (-1)
Layton – 16% (-2)
May – 7% (Harris – 3%)The tables with the tabs for all leaders and the methodology are posted on our website at: http://www.sesresearch.com.
Polling between February 2nd and 8th, 2007 (Random Telephone Survey of Canadians, 18 years of age and older). The statistics of the latest wave are based on a total sample of 1,002 respondents and is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. The results are compared to the CPAC-SES election tracking completed the day before the federal election (January 22, 2006).
PTBC was founded by Mr. Johannesen in 2000.
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