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Dion’s Liberals ahead in latest Nanos Poll (WAY ahead in Ontario)

I can only imagine what will happen when they finally get rid of the Liberal Frenchman and replace him with a leader who has some of that “Natural Governing Party” appeal that the liberals’ media so adore.  “Bare-Ass” Bob Rae, say, or that yummy Scott (“Fancy Pants”) Brison.  Or as I’ve suggested before, Jack (“ass”) Layton. 

Don’t dismiss this poll.  Unlike nearly any other polls and pollsters, I consider Nanos Polls to be reliable, and even spot-on accurate.  Nik Nanos has built a reputation as a pollster who predicts elections with astounding accuracy. 

Methodology
Polling between April 4th and April 9th, 2008. (Random Telephone Survey of 827 Canadians, 18 years of age and older). The Nanos Research Survey of 827 Canadians is accurate to within 3.4 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. The subset of committed voters is accurate to within 3.4 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.

  Question: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed Voters Only – First Choice)

The numbers in parenthesis denotes the change from the previous Nanos Research Survey completed in February, 2008.

Canada (N=827, MoE ± 3.4%, 19 times out of 20)
Liberal Party 36% (+3)
Conservative Party 36% (+5)
NDP 14% (-5)
BQ 8% (-2)
Green Party 6% (-2)

Ontario (N=251, MoE ± 6.3%, 19 times out of 20)
Liberal Party 50% (+7)
Conservative Party 32% (+1)
NDP 13% (-6)
Green Party 6% (-1)

Quebec (N=202, MoE ± 7.0%, 19 times out of 20)
BQ 35%(-2)
Conservative Party 23% (NC)
Liberal Party 23% (+1)
NDP 13% (+1)
Green Party 6% (NC)

The detailed tables with the regional sub-tabs and methodology are posted on our website at: http://www.nanosresearch.com.

I could go on and on about why things are the way they are, but why don’t you instead? 

Joel Johannesen
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