In a Val Sears column this week which I “critiqued” in my ever-so-gentle way, I pointed out how Val Sears, political writer and fact-checker extraordinaire, wrote in his the Conservatives is dead piece that “in the latest poll”, the Conservatives trailed the Liberals by 13 points.
I corrected him, pointing out that in fact, the latest poll showed the Liberals ahead by 5 points, not 13, and that his “latest poll” was (a) not the latest poll and (b) was the one poll which showed that kind of goofy anomaly—a figure only a liberal who hadn’t looked at all the polling being done could really love. Of course it was done by the liberal-friendly Globe and Mail and CTV—both owned by liberal-friendly Bell Globemedia.
Last night another poll was released, and it has been reported that the Liberals have gained over the Conservatives. All the way up to an 8-point lead.
Canada’s Liberals have widened their lead over the Conservatives …
Mr. Sears, the Liberals have gone from a 13-point lead all the up to an 8-point lead! That’s quite a gain! So is this good for the Conservatives or bad? I’m confused!
Here’s another comment of brilliance —this one from the poll-taker himself:
Pollara chairman Michael Marzolini said that if an election were held now the result would undoubtedly be another Liberal minority government.
“There would certainly be no talk about a Conservative minority,” he told Reuters.
Shear nonsense. Wishful thinking. Val Sears’ thinking.
Here’s another part of the facts (most of which are conveniently missing in the story because Pollara releases only the information to the public that it wants rather than their whole poll so we can decide for ourselves):
Although Pollara showed the Liberals comfortably ahead in the central province of Ontario, which accounts for 106 parliamentary seats, the news was less good elsewhere.
In Quebec, where anger at the kickback scandal is particularly intense, the Liberals trail the Bloc Quebecois by 61 percent to 26 percent. The Bloc, a separatist party that runs candidates only in the French-speaking province, had a narrower 48 percent to 26 percent lead in the previous poll.
In the June 2004 election the Liberals took 36.7 percent of the vote, compared with 29.6 percent for the Conservatives and 15.7 percent for the New Democrats.
PTBC was founded by Mr. Johannesen in 2000.
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