The takeover of Congress by Democrats could result in a big payday for trial lawyers at the expense of the feckless food industry.
Food companies like McDonald’s, KFC and IHOP recently announced their intent to stop cooking their foods in trans fats—industrially-produced vegetable oils used in a variety of food products for their cooking, preservative and cost benefits.
The companies are reacting to widely publicized claims that trans fats cause heart disease and more than 1-in-5 heart attacks. Emanating from a decade-long campaign launched by a small group of Harvard University researchers, anti-trans fat hysteria has been so “successful” that New York City and Chicago have announced moves to ban restaurant use of trans fats.
The Washington Post cheered such news in an editorial this week, hoping that it “inspires the federal Food and Drug Administration to catch up”—more on the significance of this comment later.
The rush to judgment on trans fats is amazing given the “science” used to power the anti-trans fat bandwagon.
Consider the most recent review of trans fats research published in the New England Journal of Medicine (April 13, 2006). The review was co-authored by Harvard’s Walter Willett, one of the researchers leading the anti-trans fat campaign.
Willett’s primary claim about trans fats is that they “appear to increase the risk of coronary heart disease more than any other macronutrient.” Willett cites three large studies as “the strongest epidemiologic [real-world] evidence” for this assertion.
Let’s look closely at these studies.
In the so-called “Health Professional Follow-up Study,” more than 43,000 male health professionals were studied for six years to examine the association between dietary fats and heart disease. Although the “raw” results indicated positive correlations between trans fat consumption and heart disease, when other confounding risk factors for heart disease were considered, the correlation with heart disease became statistically insignificant and the correlation with fatal heart attacks became inverted – that is, trans fat consumption slightly reduced the risk of fatal heart attack!
In the “Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study,” the intake of trans fats was studied in almost 22,000 male smokers. The study did not report a statistically significant association between trans fat intake and non-fatal heart attack, and only reported a questionable weak statistical association between very high trans fat intake and fatal heart attacks.
But given that the typical lifestyle characteristics of smokers compared to non-smokers – lower income, more stressful lives, worse diet, higher alcohol consumption, and less exercise – tend to significantly impact heart disease risk, the men in this study are probably not good subjects for an evaluation of trans fats in the first place.
In the third study, known as the “Nurses Health Study,” 80,082 female nurses were followed for 14 years to study the relationship between dietary intake of different types of fats and heart disease. No overall association was reported between trans fat intake and heart disease, although a weak statistical association was reported for women in the top quintile of trans fat intake. But the size of that statistical association (53 percent), however, renders it quite dubious.
As the National Cancer Institute has publicly stated, “In epidemiologic research, [increases in risk of less than 100 percent] are considered small and usually difficult to interpret. Such increases may be due to chance, statistical bias or effects of confounding factors that are sometimes not evident.”
So there you have it. Those flimsy-to-exculpatory study results are what Harvard’s Willett considers (as of April 2006) to be the “strongest epidemiological evidence” supposedly linking trans fat consumption with heart disease.
But if Willett’s claims about trans fats were true, wouldn’t there be a substantial body of consistent and convincing evidence indicating that trans fats intake causes actual harm among real people? After all, we’ve only been consuming trans fats since Crisco was commercialized in 1908 – almost 100 years.
So what’s all this got to do with this week’s elections and trial lawyers?
So far, there have been several lawsuits filed against food companies (like McDonald’s and KFC) concerning trans fats. None of this has been personal injury or class action litigation, however, which is where the big bucks are for trial lawyers.
Despite all the trans fat scaremongering – aided in part by food companies caving in to trans fat-free alarmism by reformulating cooking processes or selling trans fat-free products – the Food and Drug Administration still classifies all uses of trans fats as “generally recognized as safe.”
This classification obviously serves as a roadblock to successful personal injury litigation. How long trans fats will maintain their “GRAS” status is anyone’s guess.
However, the Democrat takeover of Congress raises concerns because trial lawyers are historically among the Democrats’ biggest financial supporters – almost 10 times greater than the food industry in 2006 ($65 million vs. $7 million). While Congress has no direct authority over the FDA and its staff, Congress may pressure the FDA and its leadership to change the GRAS status of trans fats in other ways—such as through its investigative, appropriations and legislative powers.
A change in the status of trans fats would clear the way for personal injury lawyers to sue (perhaps on a class action basis) and start collecting big bucks for the alleged 1-in-5 heart attacks that the Harvard cabal blames on trans fats. It could be a multi-billion dollar payday that ranks among the most lucrative personal injury litigation for the lawyers.