Accurate pollster (and contributor to the state-owned media, the CBC) Nick Nanos said it’s all more a matter of Conservative political mistakes, than Liberal successes like the visiting Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff’s (as seen at left) cross-country, please accept me as that which I am not, a checkered-short-shirt-sleevin’, rock ‘n roll, average-guy in a a pair ‘o Levi’s eatin’ a boiga ‘n a beeya bus tour (OK, that’s not exactly how Nanos put it).
“This is more a result of an accumulation of problems for the Conservatives, like the census, Afghan detainees, the Guergis affair,” said Nanos.
“The tight race is not a result of what the Liberals have done to move the numbers, it’s what the Conservatives have done to depress their support.”
I think it’s because nobody knows what in tarnation the difference between Liberals and “the Tories” is, inasmuch as they are both progressive parties — one being in more of a hurry than the other. Well OK there are a few other differences, but folks in Canada don’t spend much time trying to figure those differences out. Conservatives — the real ones — need to depart from their obsession with being all “Canadian” about it (polite, sickeningly PC, speaking in putrid pale pastels), and turn instead to speaking in bold colors about root conservative values. Then watch the poll numbers fly.
But what do I know?
OH AND ALSO:
I find it so odd that while reporting on the poll, the media —none of them —bothered to include the rest of the poll results that Nanos released. Perhaps this is because it casts the Liberal in such a terrible light, and Prime Minister Harper in such a good light.
Nanos Tracking Poll.
The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the Nanos National Omnibus survey completed between April 30th and May 3rd, 2010.
National (n=1,014)
The most trustworthy leader
Stephen Harper: 25.5% (+1.6)
Jack Layton: 16.5% (-0.3)
Michael Ignatieff: 10.3% (-0.7)
Elizabeth May: 7.8% (+1.0)
Gilles Duceppe: 10.0% (+1.0)
None of them/Undecided: 29.9% (-2.7)
The most competent leader
Stephen Harper: 30.3% (+0.1)
Jack Layton: 12.3% (+0.6)
Michael Ignatieff: 14.6% (-0.5)
Elizabeth May: 3.7% (+1.5)
Gilles Duceppe: 8.7% (+0.5)
None of them/Undecided: 30.5% (-2.1)
The leader with the best vision for Canada’s future
Stephen Harper: 27.5% (+2.4)
Jack Layton: 15.1% (-1.2)
Michael Ignatieff: 14.1% (-0.6)
Elizabeth May: 6.1% (+0.9)
Gilles Duceppe: 5.2% (+1.3)
None of them/Undecided: 32.2% (-2.4)
Leadership Index Score
Stephen Harper: 83.3 (+4.1)
Jack Layton: 43.9 (-0.9)
Michael Ignatieff: 39.0 (-1.8)
Elizabeth May: 17.6 (+3.4)
Gilles Duceppe: 23.9 (+2.8)
PTBC was founded by Mr. Johannesen in 2000.
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